Lesson 109 — Justifying Which Measure Best Suits a Data Set
Strand: Statistics | Descriptor: AC9M7ST01 | Duration: 45 minutes
Learning Intentions
- To decide which measure of central tendency best represents a data set.
- To justify the choice by referring to the data’s shape and outliers.
Success Criteria
I can:
- Identify an outlier and describe its effect on each measure.
- Explain when the median is more representative than the mean.
- Explain when the mode is the only sensible choice.
- Justify a choice of measure with evidence from the data.
Warmup
(6 minutes — the misleading average, whole class)
Nine workers at a small business earn (in thousands):
- Calculate the mean.
- Calculate the median.
- The owner advertises “average salary
90,000$“. Is that true? Is it honest? - Which figure would you quote to a job applicant?
Answers: 1. Total
The lesson in one line: “average” is not one thing. Choosing which average to report is a decision — and sometimes a rhetorical one.
Activities
Activity 1 — Explicit Instruction: Outliers and Their Effects (14 min)
Definition. An outlier is a value far from the rest of the data.
Test each measure against the salary data, with and without the
| Measure | With outlier | Without | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | huge | ||
| Median | small | ||
| Mode | none | ||
| Range | huge |
The rule that falls out:
- The mean uses every value, so a single extreme value drags it. Sensitive to outliers.
- The median depends only on position, so extremes barely move it. Resistant to outliers.
- The mode ignores everything but frequency. Unaffected by outliers.
- The range is defined by the extremes, so it is the most sensitive of all.
When to choose which — the decision guide:
| Situation | Best measure | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Data is fairly even, no extremes | Mean | Uses all the data; most informative |
| Outliers present, or a skewed spread | Median | Unmoved by extremes; describes the typical case |
| Categorical or “most popular” questions | Mode | The only measure that works for non-numerical data |
| Data where every value is different | Mean or median | The mode is useless — no value repeats |
I do — three quick judgements:
- House prices in a suburb (a few mansions among many units) → median. (This is why real estate reports quote median prices.)
- Shoe sizes a shop should stock → mode. The shop wants the size that sells most, not an average of
. - Marks on a class test with no unusual scores → mean. It uses every mark.
We do — decide and justify:
- Times for ten students to run
m, one of whom stopped to tie a shoelace. - The number of pets owned by students in a class.
- Daily rainfall over a month with one storm day.
- Favourite lunch option among
students.
(Answers: 1. median — the interrupted run is an outlier; 2. mode or median — small whole numbers, and the mode says what is most common; 3. median for a typical day, though the mean matters for total water; 4. mode — the data is categorical, so mean and median do not exist.)
Activity 2 — Justification Practice (14 min)
Pairs. Every answer states the chosen measure, its value, and a one-sentence justification referring to the data.
Data 1 — Sleep hours (ten students):
Data 2 — Prices of items in a shop (
Data 3 — Number of siblings:
Data 4 — Test marks out of
Data 5 — Shirt sizes sold: S, M, M, L, M, S, L, M, XL, M.
For each: calculate all applicable measures, choose the best representative, and justify.
Socratic scaffolding for Data 4:
| Prompt | Purpose |
|---|---|
| Calculate the mean and the median. | Mean |
| Which is closer to most of the marks? | The median — six of eight marks lie between |
| What is pulling the mean up? | The |
| Is the | Both are possible. Real outliers stay in the data but are reported; errors are corrected. |
| So what do you report? | The median as the typical mark, and note that one student scored far higher. |
| Looking back | Choosing the median does not mean hiding the outlier — it means not letting it distort the summary. |
(Answers: 1. mean
Activity 3 — Inquiry: whose Average? (9 min)
Pairs, then class discussion.
A school reports on a fundraising day. Donations (in dollars) from ten families:
- Calculate the mean, median and mode.
- The principal wants to report a strong result. Which would she quote?
- A parent group argues most families gave modestly. Which would they quote?
- Which is the most honest single figure, and what should be reported alongside it?
Socratic scaffolding:
| Prompt | Purpose |
|---|---|
| Compute all three. | Mean |
| Which flatters the result? | The mean — inflated by one |
| Which understates the total effort? | The mode — most donations were near it, but it ignores the large gift entirely. |
| Is any of them a lie? | No. Each is correctly calculated — they answer different questions. |
| What is the honest report? | The median as the typical donation, plus the total raised, plus a note about the large single gift. |
| Looking back | Honesty in statistics is usually about what you report alongside the number, not about which number is “true”. |
Closing point (board): whenever you meet an “average” in the media, ask three questions — which average, what the spread is, and whether outliers are present.
Checks for Understanding
(5 minutes — exit ticket, collected)
Data:
- Calculate the mean and the median.
- Which better represents this data? Justify in one sentence.
- Name the outlier and its effect on each measure.
- For “favourite sport” data, which measure can be used, and why only that one?
- Reasoning. A report quotes a mean without mentioning the spread. Why is that a problem?
Answers: 1. Mean
Common Misconceptions
| Misconception | How to pre-empt it |
|---|---|
| ”The average” means the mean, always. | The warmup’s salary data; three averages, three answers. |
| The mean is the most accurate measure. | It is the most complete, but completeness is a liability when outliers are present. |
| Outliers should be deleted. | Real outliers stay; they are reported, not hidden. Only errors are corrected. |
| The mode is a beginner’s measure. | It is the only measure available for categorical data. |
| A measure can be chosen without looking at the data. | Every justification must cite the data’s shape or outliers. |
| One number can summarise a data set fully. | The closing point: always report spread alongside centre. |
Enrichment — Competition-Style Problems
E1 (Kangaroo style). In the set
Answer
Mean
E2 (AMC Junior style). A data set has mean
Answer
The mean rises noticeably (by an amount depending on the set’s size); the median rises by at most a little, shifting one position up the ordered list.
E3 (Challenge). Construct two different data sets of five whole numbers that both have a mean of
Answer
E.g.
E4 (Challenge). A cricketer’s scores are
Answer
The player quotes the mean (
E5 (Challenge). Explain why a data set of house prices almost always has a mean greater than its median.
Answer
Prices have a floor near zero but no ceiling, so the expensive tail stretches far to the right. Those extreme values lift the mean while leaving the median — a positional measure — near the bulk of the data. This right-skew is why property reports quote medians.
Homework
- For each data set, calculate the mean and median, then state which better represents the data and why:
(a)
(b) (c) (d) - Name the outlier in each of 1(b) and 1(d), and state its effect on the mean, median and range.
- Which measure would you use, and why: (a) the most popular ice cream flavour (b) typical time to walk to school, where one student was delayed by a train (c) average marks on an evenly-spread test (d) shoe sizes a shop should order?
- Donations:
. (a) Calculate all three measures. (b) Which would a fundraiser quote? (c) Which is most representative? (d) What should be reported alongside it? - Explain why the mode is the only usable measure for data such as favourite colour.
- A set of seven numbers has a mean of
and a median of . Suggest a possible data set and explain the difference between the two measures. - Reasoning. Explain why the median is described as “resistant to outliers” but the mean is not.
- Reasoning. A news report says “average household debt has risen to
95,000$.” What three questions should a careful reader ask? - Challenge. Construct a data set of six values where the mean, median and mode are all different, and state each.
Answers: Q1 — (a) mean